Why is price discovery in credit default swap markets news-specific?

نویسندگان

  • Ian W. Marsh
  • Wolf Wagner
  • Ana-Maria Fuertes
  • Aneel Keswani
  • Chensheng Lu
  • Richard Payne
  • Asani Sarkar
چکیده

We analyse daily lead-lag patterns in US equity and credit default swap (CDS) returns. We first document that equity returns robustly lead CDS returns. However, we find that the CDSlag is due to common (and not firm-specific) news and arises predominantly in response to positive (instead of negative) equity market news. We provide an explanation for this newsspecific price discovery based on dealers in the CDS market exploiting their informational advantage vis-à-vis institutional investors with hedging demands. In support of this explanation we find that the CDS-lag and its news-specificity are related to various firm-level proxies for hedging demand in the cross-section as well measures for economy-wide informational asymmetries over time.

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تاریخ انتشار 2012